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Obama is in a downward campaign freefall
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| Author | Message |
| thesecondcoming |
Posted - 10/9/2012 8:38:14 PM | show profile | flag this post
US ambassador and three others killed. Obama's response: "It's the movie" Obama gets his ass handed to him at the debate because he is arrogant and is an empty suit. Even lib dems complain about how bad Obama was at the debate. Romney surges in the polls. Obama uses Big Bird as a campaign ad. Now, Big Bird tells Obama to pull the ad. My guess now is that chaos is Obama's only campaign trick left. Here comes the LANDSLIDE that I have been predicting for over a year. |
| cruster |
Posted - 10/9/2012 9:28:29 PM | show profile | flag this post
And We WILL REMEMBER! Landslide! No doubt! No retreat! You can't possibly be wrong!! And no one will dare call you a f*@king idiot after election day, guaranteed! SPC said 10% minimum for Romney. Take it to the bank. As one once said after Sarah Palin was nominated for VP, "It's OVER!" |
| Grateful Deadline |
Posted - 10/10/2012 12:09:47 AM | show profile | flag this post
Are 1- and 2-point spreads called "freefalls"? |
| Grateful Deadline |
Posted - 10/10/2012 12:12:25 AM | show profile | flag this post
Are 1- and 2-point spreads called "freefalls"? It looks instead as if "undecideds" are deciding. That's what the news is reporting, too. No "freefall" is evident from the poll results. You should read what Obama says about *you*. |
| etaoin shrdlu |
Posted - 10/10/2012 9:47:06 AM | show profile | flag this post
Hardly a free fall... now that Romney's debate bounce is already fading. BTW, where does Romney stand of abortion today? Is he still for it, like he said yesterday? He's flip-flopping so fast, I can't keep up. |
| cruster |
Posted - 10/10/2012 2:08:12 PM | show profile | flag this post
But if We Keep Saying Romney Landslide.... ... then it will happen right? Because we can change facts and evidence simply by repeating claims we believe. Like global cooling. Fact. Massive voter fraud. Fact WMD in Iraq. Fact Romney landslide. Fact See how easy it is? |
| thesecondcoming |
Posted - 10/11/2012 6:56:55 AM | show profile | flag this post
You libs die a slow and painful death.... It's not the "1 or 2" point leads. When Obama was leading by 5 in the polls that oversample democrats by 8 or more, and is now losing by, "1 or 2", Thats an 7 to 8 point drop or FREEFALL. Romney will win by at least 10% in the popular vote and will get at least 300 electoral votes. Its not hard to figure out, except for people in the left wing tass media. The economy stinks, and Obama is clueless. |
| Village Gal |
Posted - 10/11/2012 9:00:29 AM | show profile | flag this post
why should anyone care about the predictions of a con man on a bulletin board? |
| etaoin shrdlu |
Posted - 10/11/2012 9:19:10 AM | show profile | flag this post
Have you seen the latest swing state polls? Obama's lead is bouncing back strongly today -- almost to where he was before the debate. Two things happened at the same time in Denver. By losing the debate -- Obama erased HIS convention bounce and Romney got a debate bounce. That flipped the numbers pretty dramatically. But the Romney debate bounce has faded extremely fast. Right now, Romney leads in the national polls. But he's slipping fast in the swing state polls. That could mean that if the election were held today, Romney could win the popular vote but get creamed in the swing states. Remember, if Obama wins Ohio (and his lead is growing back fastest there) Romney has to win EVERY OTHER SWING STATE to win the electoral college vote. If Obama wins Ohio and Virginia or Florida -- or maybe even New Hampshire -- it's over for Romney. I've said all along it's going to be close. There's no landslide coming. |
| Grateful Deadline |
Posted - 10/11/2012 11:17:38 AM | show profile | flag this post
Agreed: It will be close though not in the electoral vote. Seeing Romney's post-debate "bounce" is one of the best things that could happen to avert complacency among voters. |
| con |
Posted - 10/11/2012 11:22:36 AM | show profile | flag this post
"Obama's lead is bouncing back strongly today" so strong romney increased his lead in the rcp average, and 5 states have been taken out of the leans obama column to toss up. that bounce is fading fast... |
| etaoin shrdlu |
Posted - 10/11/2012 1:39:45 PM | show profile | flag this post
TODAY... not the last several days. Take a look at these out today: Trending: 5 Reasons President Obama Will Be Re-Elected October 11, 2012 Are You a Dual Screener? A new Pew Research survey finds that 11% of those who watched last week's presidential debate - including 22% of those younger than 40 - were "dual screeners," following coverage on a computer or mobile device at the same time as following television coverage. 6 Comments How Romney Can Win Without Ohio Mark Halperin: "Here's the most likely path for Romney, sans Ohio: He wins the McCain states, plus Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, and Iowa -- losing New Hampshire and Wisconsin, along with Ohio." "Obviously, that means winning six of the nine battleground states, many of which still show significant deficits for the challenger, who also does not boast the same long-built ground game machinery as the incumbent. This map makes two things clear: Romney's debate performance hasn't solved his Electoral College problem, and/but his route to 270 is so, so much harder if he can't win Ohio." 13 Comments Will Tonight's Debate Even Matter? Marc Ambinder notes that historically vice presidential debates have rarely been game changers but notes "one caveat that occurs to me here is that technology and information consumption patterns have shifted to A-gear so much so that if the political class wants to force the public to make more of a big deal about the vice presidential ticket than they might, then perhaps a rousing debate from Ryan or Biden will shift things. But I doubt it." 16 Comments The Pressure is on Biden Tonight John Cassidy: "A strong performance by the Vice-President won't repair all of the damage that Obama did last week--only Obama himself can do that. But it would help to stabilize things for the Democrats, and to quell the near panic that has broken out in some quarters. Conversely, if Paul Ryan gets the better of Biden, and particularly if Biden provides the media with some sort of gaffe to feed upon, the Democrats will have to endure another week of negative headlines and self-flagellation. By the time Obama gets onstage in Hempstead next Thursday, his campaign could be in serious trouble." 16 Comments Are National or State Polls More Reliable? Nate Silver looks at the fact that Mitt Romney is about tied -- or perhaps even has a small lead -- in the average of national polls right now while President Obama leads in the key swing states. "There are some reasons to prefer national polls to state polls. First, they probably come from slightly stronger polling firms on average and they often have larger sample sizes, although there are exceptions on either side. Second, they're more straightforward to interpret -- especially if you want to derive an estimate of how the national popular vote will break down." "Our research suggests, however, that when the state polls and the national polls seem to tell a different story about the state of the campaign, the state polls sometimes (not always, by any means) get it right... One is just that there are more of them... So even if the typical state poll is slightly less accurate the typical national poll, the collective sum of state polls may be more worthwhile than the collective sum of national polls. Also, the state polls come from a more diverse set of polling firms, and may provide for a greater degree of independence." 15 Comments Latest Swing State Polls Here are the latest polls from the battleground states: Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac) Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Michigan: Obama 49%, Romney 42% (Detroit News) Michigan: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Gravis) Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Suffolk) Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research) Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen) Pen |
| etaoin shrdlu |
Posted - 10/11/2012 3:20:46 PM | show profile | flag this post
Sorry for all the clutter Looks like the copy function shifted. Here's the correction: Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac) Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Michigan: Obama 49%, Romney 42% (Detroit News) Michigan: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Gravis) Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Suffolk) Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling) North Carolina: Romney 51%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen) Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research) Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen) Pennsylvania: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Pulse Opinion Research) Virginia: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist) Virginia: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac) Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Pulse Opinion Research) Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac) Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research) Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (University of North Florida) Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA) Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling) New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen) Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA) Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 42% (Newsmax/Zogby) Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen) Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (Philadelphia Inquirer) Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen) http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/11/latest_swing_state_polls.html and http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/10/latest_swing_state_polls.html |
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