LA Weekly's Queer Town's Patrick Range McDonald has been tirelessly following each development in the Proposition 8.

Prop. 8 proposes to change the California constitution so same sex couples can't marry each other. Who cares who marries who? Mormons. If anyone would be cool with redefining marriage - you'd think it would be the people that had to give up a tenet of their faith that deals directly with marriage (polygamy) in order to get statehood. Maybe it's a PR move after Warren Jeffs.

Anyway, McDonald has been all over new developments:

On Wednesday night, the Public Policy Institute of California, a highly respected, non-partisan polling group, released new numbers on Proposition 8, the November 4 ballot measure that would ban same sex marriage in California. According to its findings, 53 percent of likely voters would vote "no" on Prop. 8, while 44 percent would vote "yes." "It's getting closer," says PPIC President Mark Baldassare, "but still a majority opposes (Proposition 8)."

Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight has his own take on the fate of Prop. 8. (Spoiler alert: it's a toss up).