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Pollsters Predict November Elections at Story Partners’ Election 2014: Pollster Preview

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Amy Walters, Christina Bellantoni, Michael Bloomfield, and Whit Ayres

Gloria Story Dittus hosted Story Partners’ Election 2014: Pollster Preview at her home Wednesday night, a conversation on the upcoming midterm elections. Roll Call editor-in-chief Christina Bellantoni moderated a discussion between Cook Political Report’s Amy Walter, North Star Opinion Research’s Whit Ayres; and The Mellman Group’s Michael Bloomfield.

Walter, Ayers, and Bloomfield discussed specific Congressional races, offered their predictions, and answered questions posed by quests.

In attendance: CBS News’ Nancy Cordes; POLITICO’s Lauren French; CNN’s Katie Hinman; WaPo’s Paul KaneTIME’s Alex Rogers; Google’s Rob Saliterman; Amazon’s Steve Hartell; PhRMA’s Robert Zirkelbach; WellPoint’s Katie Zirkelbach; Exxon’s Jeanne Mitchell; Arch Coal’s Tom Altmeyer; Hogan Lovells’ Mike House; the U.S. Chamber’s Andrew Kovalcin; Southern Company’s Jeanne Wolak; NAPTP’s Mary Lyman; Missy Edwards of Missy Edwards Strategies; Cove Strategies’s Stephen Replogle; Tim Peckinpaugh of K&L Gates, API’s Eric Wohlschlegel; Greg Staley of U.S. Travel, SIFMA’s Lenwood Brooks and Carol Danko; and Story Partners’ Amos Snead, Andrew Fimka, Cameron Coursen, Gabrielle Beaumont, Lauren Culbertson, Patrick O’Connor, Grigsby Crawford and Olivia McDonald.

[Photo by Ben Droz]

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Pew Research Center Explores Consumption of Political News by Liberals, Conservatives

shutterstock_207849145The Pew Research Center’s Journalism Project today released a study on where people, ranging from consistently liberal to consistently conservative, go for political and government news, similar trends in social media use, and how they communicate said information with family and friends.

While 47% of consistent conservatives cite FOX News as their main news source pertaining to politics and the government, those who self-describe themselves as consistently liberal most trust NPR, PBS, and the BBC for that information. Read more

New Fusion Poll Explains Millennial Attitudes on Midterm Elections

Screen Shot 2014-10-09 at 13.22.12Fusion today released the results of its Massive Millennial Poll, a survey of 1200 likely voters ranging in age from 18 to 34 on issues relevant to this year’s midterm elections and the 2016 presidential election.

Fifty eight percent of young Democrats polled said they plan to support Hillary Clinton if she were to run for president in 2016, while 16% of young Republicans support Paul Ryan as the 2016 Republican presidential candidate, compared to 11% who favor Jeb Bush and 9% that choose Rand Paul.

As it pertains to November’s midterm elections, 47% of respondents said they’ll vote Democrat, while 32% favor Republicans and 21% are undecided.

The results go on to further explain millennial views on gay marriage, gun rights, and medical marijuana.

For the full results, click on over to Fusion, an ABC and Univision joint venture launched last year.

WTOP ‘Beltway Poll’ Shows Regional Support for Washington Redskins Name

Photo via Redskins.com.

Photo via Redskins.com.

WTOP’s “Beltway Poll” announced this morning showed that more than 60% of those in the region don’t believe the Washington Redskins should change their name. Of the more than 600 surveyed in WTOP’s listening area, 69% say the team name controversy has not influenced their decision to purchase Redskins’ tickets or merchandise.

While more than half of respondents don’t think a name change is necessary, 55% believe the name will eventually have to change and 72% don’t think the media should stop using the Redskins name.

The survey was conducted following a June 18 announcement that the U.S. Patent Office canceled 6 Redskins football team trademarks after its Trademark Trial and Appeal Board ruled that those in question were “disparaging to Native Americans.” In May, 50 US Senators signed support for name change of the Washington NFL team.

The WTOP “Beltway Poll” was conducted by Heart and Mind Strategies and reached 604 participants in the WTOP listening area from June 20-26, 2014. Comprehensive findings can be found here.

U.S. Patent Office Cancels Redskins Trademarks

Photo via Redskins.com.

Photo via Redskins.com.

This morning, the U.S. Patent Office canceled 6 Redskins football team trademarks after its Trademark Trial and Appeal Board ruled the those in question were “disparaging to Native Americans.”

“We are extraordinarily gratified to have prevailed in this case,” said Alfred Putnam, Jr., chairman of Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP, which represented the five men and women who initiated the suit brought to the Patent Office.

The board canceled the trademarks in 1999, but four years later, a federal judge overturned the ruling body’s decision. The Redskins have two months to appeal the decision.

In a statement by the team’s trademark attorney, Bob Raskoph said, “We are confident we will prevail once again, and that the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board’s divided ruling will be overturned on appeal. This case is no different than an earlier case, where the Board cancelled the Redskins’ trademark registrations, and where a federal district court disagreed and reversed the Board.”

The naming of the football team has been an ongoing debate in Washington and beyond. In May, 50 U.S. Senators signed a letter to NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell in support of a name change for DC’s NFL team, something the team’s owner Dan Snyder says he will never do.

Top Tweets of CNN/ORC Poll Regarding MH370 Disappearance

Today, questions from a CNN/ORC International poll regarding the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 were released online. Of the 1,008 adult Americans surveyed (between May 2 and 4 with a sampling error of +/- 3.5%), 19% of respondents said there was at least some likelihood that ”space aliens, time travelers, or beings from another dimension” were responsible for the missing plane.

The internet went wild. See some of the best Twitter commentary after the jump.

Read more

HuffPost Hires Data Scientist Ahead of ’14, ’16 Elections

Huffington Post’s Senior Polling Director, Mark Blumenthal, announced today that Marist analyst Natalie Jackson has been hired as HuffPost’s Senior Data Scientist.

“Natalie’s full-time presence on the Pollster team will help us to improve and expand HuffPost’s polling aggregation and modeling,” Blumenthal said.  ”At a time when statistical models used to forecast elections have gained great prominence, she will help Pollster leverage our unique knowledge of and experience with pre-election polls.”

Jackson has a PhD in statistical methods from the University of Oklahoma and, prior to joining Marist, she did post-doctoral work at Duke University. Her first day is May 12.