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Scott Foundas writes of the coulda, shoulda, woulda world of those filmmakers whose Sundance acclaim didn’t catapult them into the big time. Or even a steady gig. Here’s the stats:

Of the 290 dramatic features that played at Sundance between 1984 and 2002 (the last year it seemed prudent to include in this survey, given the amount of time it can take to set up an indie film), 156 of their directors have gone on to make zero or, at the most, one additional dramatic feature.

In his LA Weekly piece, Foundas recounts the cautionary tale of Gary Walkow, who’ll show his latest work, Crashing, at Slamdance. Walkow, who has more than his fair share of bad luck for one lifetime, had a festival hit, The Trouble With Dick, sold it to a small company who folded before releasing the film. And then he made another film, went to Sundance, and watched the heavy-hitters engage in a bidding war over Shine. And he’s doing this again.

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