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Posts Tagged ‘Nate Silver’

Weekend Show Preview – 9.7.14

SundayShows-w-candyWho’s on the talk shows this weekend? Glad you asked.

Sunday marks Chuck Todd‘s first as moderator of NBC’s “Meet the Press,” with an exclusive interview with President Barack Obama. Former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger will be on CBS’s “Face the Nation” and NPR’s “Weekend Edition Saturday.” Former Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) will join “FOX News Sunday.”

Not all lineups have been announced. But click through for those that have and we’ll continue to update throughout the day.

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Weekend Show Preview, 6.6 – 6.8

Who’s on the talk shows this weekend? Glad you asked:

Sunday:

CBS’s “Face the Nation”: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), David Rohde of Reuters, Thomas Friedman of NYT, Peggy Noonan of WSJ, David Gergen of Harvard, Michael Gerson of WaPo, Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA)

“Fox News Sunday”: Fmr. Attorney General Michael Mukasey, Gen. Jack Keane, military parents Cheryl Brandes and Ken Luccioni, George Will, Mara Liasson of NPR, Steve Hayes of The Weekly Standard, Juan Williams

NBC’s “Meet the Press“: preempted by coverage of Premier League soccer

ABC’s “This Week“: Hillary Clinton, Rep. Mike Rogers (R-MI), Seattle Mayor Ed Murray, Matthew Dowd, Alicia Menendez of Fusion, Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), Fmr. Gov. Bill Richardson (D-NM), Paul Gigot of WSJ, Katrina vanden Heuvel of The Nation, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight

Univision’s “Al Punto”:  Guatemalan Ambassador to US Julio Ligorria, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), Spanish Ambassador to US Ramón Gil-Casares, Enrique Bermudez and Jorge Pérez Navarro of Univision Sports, salsa dancers Beberly Devers and Kevin Tellez

CNN’s “State of the Union: Sec. of State John Kerry, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), Maj. Gen. Paul Eaton of the National Security Network, Lt. Gen. Jerry Boykin of the Family Research Council, Gen. James Mattis, Donna Brazile, Jackie Calmes of NYT, Ana Navaro

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NYT and FiveThirtyEight Differ on Senate Prospects

The New York Times unveiled their new post-FiveThirtyEight, data-driven journalism project today, dubbed The Upshot. The site, edited by NYT Washington bureau chief David Leonhardt (aka Not Nate Silver) is supposed to fill the void left by Silver when he teamed up with ESPN to relaunch his own standalone site. And right off the bat, Leonhardt and Co. are diverging from Silver on the biggest prediction made yet this election season -who will control the Senate.

While Silver says that Republicans are a slight favorite to win, The Upshot has that Democrats are more likely than not to keep the upper chamber. The main difference between the two forecasts seems to be that The Upshot considers Colorado and Michigan to be more likely Democratic wins than FiveThirtyEight does.

Of course, Silver will continue to update his model as the cycle progresses -as will The Upshot. It’ll be interesting to see whether the two methodologies start producing more similar results over time. If they do, it may be that Silver starts to loose some of his prestige as the One True Oracle of Politics. If not, and if Silver hews to his sterling track record and calls most of the races correctly, then it would be a big validation for the beleaguered quant -and a big rebuff to his detractors.

(Photo Credit: The Upshot)

Vox Reveals Secret Platform at Penn Station, Ruins Train Travel For Everyone

We have seen the face of explanatory journalism -and we don’t like it.

Dumb ole’ Ezra Klein and friends  have launched their dumb ole’ website, Vox.com, and it’s terrible. Why? Because they, in their wisdom, have gone and “explained” the best way to avoid having to stand in line when boarding an Amtrak train in New York’s Penn Station.

For anyone who has made the journey betwixt Washington and New York enough times, you know that there is a secret platform that permits hip travelers in the know to skip the boarding line altogether and walk directly to the train as soon as it arrives. Most people don’t know about this platform though -or at least they didn’t. Therefore it was a helpful way to avoid crowds, board early, and snag a good seat in the Cafe car.

But now, the helpful wonks at Vox have told the whole world about it, and every Tom, Dick, and Harry from Kalamazoo to Tallahassee will crowd onto said secret platform, rendering it absolutely useless to all the cool travelers who knew about it before.

Great. First Nate Silver ruins journalism with his quantitative analysis and meanness and anti-Krugmanery, and now Ezra is “explaining” the joy out life. Up next? The children at The Atlantic will start their own digital project devoted entirely to proving that David Blaine isn’t actually magic and that love is just chemical reactions in our brains.

Hooray for data-driven journalism.

Weekend Show Preview, 3.21 – 3.23

SundayShows12Who’s on the public affairs shows this weekend? Glad you asked:

Sunday:

CBS’s “Face the Nation”: Mitt Romney, Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL), Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Capt. Sully Sullenberger, oceanographer Dave Gallo, Clarissa Ward of CBS, Fortune‘s Leigh Gallagher, David Sanger of NYT

“Fox News Sunday”: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), Dr. Alan Diehl from the NTSB, Gov. John Kasich (R-OH), Laura Ingraham, Bob Woodward, Paul Wolfowitz, Donald Graham formerly of WaPo, Juan Williams

NBC’s “Meet the Press“: Jimmy Carter, Rep. Mike Rogers (R-MI), Frmr. Sec. of Homeland Security Michael Chertoff, Andrea Mitchell, NYT‘s David Brooks, Rich Lowry of National Review, Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter (D), NCAA’s Mark Emmert, Secretary of Education Arne Duncan, frmr White House aide Reggie Love

ABC’s “This Week“: Matt Damon, Nate Silver, Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN), Cokie Roberts, Dan Senor of the Foreign Policy Initiative

Univision’s “Al Punto”: Immigration activists Elvira and Saúl Arellano, Angelica Salas of the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights of Los Angeles, Venezuelan Congresswoman María Corina Machado, author/journalist Anabel Hernández, and Cesar Chavez director Diego Luna

C-SPAN’s “Newsmakers”: Karen Ignagni of America’s Health Insurance Plans

CNN’s “State of the Union“: 9:00: Rep. Patrick Meehan (R-PA), Stephen Trimble of Flight Global, aviation analyst Mark Weiss, Deputy National Security Adviser Tony Blinkin, Navy diving and salvage officer Bobbie Scholley, Maxim Van Norden of Univ. of Southern Mississippi, Newt Gingrich, USA Today‘s Susan Page, Neera Tanden of CAP, NOON: Madeleine Albright, Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), oceanographer Luca Centurioni, Phoenix International’s Curt Newport, Rev. Earl Johnson of American Red Cross

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Nate Silver to Make All Other Journalists Obsolete by 2016

FiveThirtyEight.com is back, baby. And for all of you in DC Journo-Land, this likely means you will have no jobs. The overwhelming and undeniable power of Nate Silver‘s sex-appeal math will render your quaint approaches to “newsgathering” as irrelevant as they are devoid of insight.

Sorry.

According to Silver’s manifesto, posted on his site today, you other journalists range from “Occasionally Amusing Gadflies” to “Mortal Foes of Logic.” In any eventuality, Nate Silver will wipe you out, like a speck of spittle on the lens of his glasses. Here is a chart for clarification.

Weekend Show Preview, 2.28 – 3.2

SundayShows12Who’s on the public affairs shows this weekend? Glad you asked:

Sunday:

CBS’s “Face the Nation“: Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand‎ (D-NY), Michael O’Hanlon of Brookings, Danielle Pletka of AEI, CBS’ Margaret Brennan and David Martin

“Fox News Sunday”: Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA), Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH), Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), George Will, Elise Viebeck of The Hill, Scott Brown, Evan Bayh

NBC’s “Meet the Press“: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Kathleen Parker, Tina Brown, Rep. Raúl Labrador (R-ID), Chuck Todd of NBC/MSNBC

ABC’s “This Week“: Ben Affleck, Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-IL), CNN’s Van Jones, Rich Lowry of National Review, ABC’s Cokie Roberts, Nate Silver

Univision’s “Al Punto” : President of Mexico Enrique Peña Nieto, Michelle Obama, wife of a Venezuelan political prisoner Lilian Tintori, Roni Kaplan of Israeli Defense Force, actor Eduardo Verastegui

CNN’s “State of the Union“: Rick Santorum, Former WH Deputy Press Sec. Bill Burton, NYT‘s Ross Douthat, Amy Walter of Cook Political Report

More guest listings after the jump…

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WaPo Digital Revamp Continues: Taylor Swiped from BI; Rucker Promoted

WaPo has promoted Philip Rucker from White House correspondent to national politics reporter and has hired Adam Taylor away from Business Insider to contribute to its “WorldViews” foreign affairs blog.

Taylor had been an editor at BI since 2010. His addition to “WoldViews” is part of WaPo editor Marty Baron‘s plan to develop “verticals,” or areas of specialization, within the WaPo website to allow readers to browse content by subject matter.

Rucker’s promotion comes after 8 years of writing for WaPo, and in a memo from Cameron Barr, Anne Kornblut, and Steven Ginsberg announcing the move, he is described as a reporter who “files often and at all hours for our digital platforms, and  an enthusiastic user of social media.”

Both hires are in keeping with Baron’s efforts, announced Wednesday, to prioritize “digital transformation” at the paper. In recent weeks, WaPo has also given gossip column “Reliable Sources” as stronger digital presence, adding two young writers (Emily Heil and Helena Andrews) and a staffer to produce online video. They’ve also hired National Journal‘s Adam Kushner to start up an online magazine and tasked Jim Tankersley with heading a data-driven digital initiative focused on policy analysis.

All these changes come as WaPo repositions itself to compete with a number of new digital news ventures including Walter Mossberg‘s and Kara Swisher‘s Re/code, Nate Silver‘s new FiveThiryEight, and the as-of-yet untitled effort announced Sunday by former Wonkblogger Ezra Klein.

NYT D.C. Bureau All Shook Up

David Leonhardt is out as The New York Times DC Bureau Chief and Carolyn Ryan is in, according to Dylan Byers:

Leonhardt, who was appointed bureau chief shortly after Jill Abramson became executive editor, served in that position for just two years. A Pulitzer Prize-winning economic columnist, Leonhardt was seen as a gifted writer with little editing experience, and thus an unnatural fit to lead the Times’ bureau.

Leonhardt is now expected to oversee a column that will focus on data and polling, effectively replacing Nate Silver, the famed statistician who decamped to ESPN earlier this year. One source described Leonhardt as the paper’s “next Nate Silver,” another as “the new Nate.”

A memo from Executive Editor Jill Abramson also details “an early morning news tip sheet that sets up the Washington day for our readers, much as the popular New York Today report does for our readers in the metropolitan area.” Carl Hulse will be the Managing Editor of the tip sheet and also Chief Washington Correspondent. Former Chief Washington Correspondent David Sanger will now cover cyber warfare and national security. Both Leonhardt’s column and Hulse’s tip sheet have yet to be named. All of these changes will be effective December 15th.

Full memo after the jump.

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Where Are They Now? New York Times Edition

The New York TimesHuffPo’s Michael Calderone wonders if the The New York Times has a retention problem. The answer: “Good Lord, Yes!”

In just the last few months, he notes, the list of former high-profile Timesmen and women has swelled to include:

Nate Silver (now at ESPN/ABC), Brian Stelter (CNN), Matt Bai (Yahoo News), Megan Liberman (Yahoo News), David Pogue (Yahoo News), Jeff Zeleny (ABC), Susan Saulny (ABC), Lisa Tozzi (BuzzFeed), Judy Battista (NFL/NFL.com), Howard Beck (Bleacher Report), Rick Berke (Politico), and Eric Wilson (InStyle)

From Calderone’s article:

The Times has long enjoyed a position atop the media pecking order and the cachet of working at the “Paper of Record” remains both a draw for recruiting talent and keeping it. But it’s no longer the case that the Times can rely on prestige alone as talent fields competitive offers from both TV networks and also online sites that can pay significantly more money, provide greater journalistic freedom and offer multi-platform visibility — or some combination of the three.

Read the whole thing here.

 

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