The 2011 Nobel Prize for Literature will be unveiled on Thursday, October 6, and the U.K. betting site Ladbrokes has continued its annual (generally unsuccessful) attempt to assign odds to certain writers.

Japanese novelist Haruki Murakami is a favorite, with eight-to-one odds of winning the top prize. According to Ladbrokes, the Syrian poet Adonis has the best odds (4/1) and Swedish author Tomas Transtromer trails with 6/1 odds.

The gamblers seem to be focused on the statistical imbalance in Nobel Prizes. Authors writing in English have won the prize 26 times, while only two writers in Japanese and one author in Arabic have won the prize.