At Tammy Haddad's Garden Brunch today, five hundred Washington insiders and Hollywood/New York notables said that Barack Obama is most likely to be the next president of the United States. Attendees were polled at the high-powered, pre-White House Correspondents Dinner brunch hosted by not only Haddad but Ted Greenberg, Hilary Rosen, Alex Castellanos, Debbie Dingell, David Adler, Kathyrn Leyman and Beth Viola as well.

37 percent chose John McCain and 21 percent chose Hillary Clinton.

A bit of background (courtesy of Mike Allen's Playbook):

There's going to be a first-ever STRAW POLL this afternoon at the fabled garden brunch hosted by Tammy Haddad, Hilary Rosen, Alex Castellanos, Debbie Dingell, Kathryn Lehman, Beth Viola and David Adler. (Tammy and Hilary between them are throwing at least five parties in 30 hours.) To ensure honesty, the Greenberg and Rosen Birch children will pass out the ballots. (Who would scam those adorable kids?) The slips ask the simple question: Who do you THINK will win the presidential election? (Not who do you WANT, which we could tell you right now.) Tammy 'Berrys: "All secret, sacred balloting by Ernst and Young and with the explicit permission of the National Football League."