TVNewser FishbowlDC AgencySpy TVSpy LostRemote PRNewser SocialTimes AllFacebook 10,000 Words GalleyCat UnBeige MediaJobsDaily

Nate Silver Got the Oscars Wrong…Well 40% or so Wrong

the-wrestle.jpg
Nate Silver used his big brain to predict the Oscars and got a couple wrong, namely Best Actor and Supporting Actress.

Uhm, if it starts raining frogs or something – we are so out of here.

Anyway, he explains on his blog:

Instead, whenever we make an incorrect prediction, we are probably better off asking questions along these lines:

What, if anything, did the incorrect prediction reveal to us about the model’s flaws?
Was the model wrong for the wrong reasons? Or was it wrong for the right reasons?
What, if any, improvements should we make to the model given these results?

Don’t worry Nate – it’s the Academy – it’s so not you!

Mediabistro Course

Travel Writing

Travel WritingStarting September 23, learn how to turn your travel stories into published essays and articles! Taught by a former Vanity Fair staff writer, James Sturz will teach you how to report, interview, and find sources, discover story ideas and pitch them successfully, and understand what travel editors look for in a story. Register now!