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Nate Silver Got the Oscars Wrong…Well 40% or so Wrong

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Nate Silver used his big brain to predict the Oscars and got a couple wrong, namely Best Actor and Supporting Actress.

Uhm, if it starts raining frogs or something – we are so out of here.

Anyway, he explains on his blog:

Instead, whenever we make an incorrect prediction, we are probably better off asking questions along these lines:

What, if anything, did the incorrect prediction reveal to us about the model’s flaws?
Was the model wrong for the wrong reasons? Or was it wrong for the right reasons?
What, if any, improvements should we make to the model given these results?

Don’t worry Nate – it’s the Academy – it’s so not you!

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Lauren Berger Writes New Book for Young People Entering "Real World"

Lauren Berger Welcome to the Real WorldCareer Expert, Lauren Berger, releases her second book, Welcome to the Real World: Finding Your Place, Perfecting Your Work, and Turning Your Job Into Your Dream Career (Harper Business), on April 22nd. In this book, Berger shares everything she wishes someone told her after graduation. Her book is the essential guide to anyone starting their first, second, or third job. She encourages readers to be fearless, step outside of their comfort zones, and go after what they want.